Wednesday, 30 October 2013

The 2013 Breeders Cup Breakdown!

The 2013 Breeders Cup - Santa Anita

By The UK Horse Racing Tipster

This weekend is one of the biggest flat meetings of the year. The Breeders Cup!

Held in the USA, this year at Santa Anita, the two day festival is one of the biggest prize races in the world with $20 million to be given out to the winners of the numerous races held.

Last year the races were held over Friday and Saturday and included.

Day 1 – Friday
  • $500,000 Breeders’ Cup Marathon (gr. II)
  • $1 million Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (gr. I)
  • $2 million Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (gr. I)
  • $2 million Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf (gr. IT)
  • $2 million Breeders’ Cup Distaff (gr. I)
Day 2 – Saturday
  • $1 million Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf (gr. IT)
  • $1 million Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint (gr. I)
  • $1 million Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (gr. I)
  • $1 million Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint (gr. IT)
  • $2 million Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (gr. I)
  • $3 million Breeders’ Cup Turf (gr. IT)
  • $1.5 million Breeders’ Cup Sprint (gr. I)
  • $2 million Breeders’ Cup Mile (gr. IT)
  • $5 million Breeders’ Cup Classic (gr. I)


With Frankel not making the trip over the pond it was left to Excelebration to compete with America's top rated horse Wise Dan and the soon to be Dubai World Cup winning Animal Kingdom in the Breeders Cup Mile.

You can watch that race below. Excelebration only managed 4th place in his last race and Animal Kingdom came 2nd with Obviously coming 3rd all behind the record time winning Wise Dan who is again running again this year.



The current prices for the 3 big events the The Breeders Cup Mile (Turf), The Breeders Cup Classic (dirt) and Breeders Cup Turf (1m 4f) are below and taken from SkyBet.

Breeders' Cup Mile Turf Mile

2nd November 2013 - 11.40pm - Grade 1 (3yo+) (Turf) 1m

The Breeders Cup Mile is a race for three year old and over fillies, mares, colts, and geldings. This race has been good for European runners lately with ten of the race’s twenty-three winners going to this side of the pond. Last year the race was won by Wise Dan and everyone is hoping he can re-gain his crown for the second year in a row.

Latest Betting from SkyBet - join their weekly bet club, even if you're already a member!

Horse Price
Wise Dan 10/11
Olympic Glory 4/1
Silver Max 6/1
No Jet Lag 10/1
Cristoforo Colombo 14/1
Obviously 14/1
Bright Thought 20/1
ZA Approval 25/1
He Be Fire N Ice 33/1
Silentio 50/1


Breeders Cup Classic

3rd November 2013 - 12.35am - Grade 1 (3yo+) (Dirt) 1m 2f

The biggest race on the Breeders Cup card is the Breeders Cup Classic which is a race for three year old and over fillies, mares, colts, and geldings.

The Breeders Cup Classic is run on the dirt track over a distance of 1m 2f. The winner takes home a purse of $2 million and the biggest names in American and European thoroughbred racing compete for this crown each year. Last year the race went to Fort Larned, who pipped Mucho Macho Man into second place.

Latest Betting from SkyBet - join their weekly bet club, even if you're already a member!

Game On Dude and Mucho Macho Man are both competing again and top the betting. Aiden O'Brien is bringing Declaration Of War over to see if he can snatch the crown away from the Americans.

Horse Win Price
Game On Dude 5/2
Mucho Macho Man 9/2
Fort Larned 6/1
Declaration Of War 7/1
Ron The Greek 9/1
Palace Malice 11/1
Paynter 12/1
Will Take Charge 12/1
Flat Out 14/1
Moreno 25/1
Planteur 25/1
Last Gunfighter 33/1


Breeders' Cup Turf 

2nd November 2013 - 10.22pm - Grade 1 (3yo+) (Turf) 1m 4f

The Breeders Cup Turf is a race for three year olds and over fillies, mares, colts, and geldings. The race is run over 1m 4f and has been dominated by European runners down the years, producing 9 of the last 13 winners. Last year Little Mike won the race.

Latest Betting from SkyBet - join their weekly bet club, even if you're already a member!

Our side of the pond heads the betting at the moment with the John Gosden trained The Fugue at 2/1.

Aiden O'Brien has brought along the Irish 2,000 Guineas winning Magician who had a bad race last time out at Ascot but before hand looked like he could have been one of the 3 year old stars of the year. I am personally hoping he can get a clear run this time and re-gain his 2,000 Guineas form.

Horse Win Price
The Fugue 2/1
Point Of Entry 4/1
Magician 6/1
Big Blue Kitten 7/1
Little Mike 7/1
Indy Point 10/1
Real Solution 14/1
Twilight Eclipse 25/1
Vagabond Shoes 25/1
Teaks North 40/1
Tale Of A Champion 50/1
Skyring 66/1


Remember to get all your news about the 2013 Breeders’ Cup, the horses, the winners and all the excitement from one of the biggest events of the year right here on UK Horse Racing Tipster: Breeders Cup 2013 News.

Also don't forget to use the bookmakers money not your own!

These are some great offers to use and you can always find more on my latest bet offers page.

If you are going to be using the SkyBet free weekly bet club then a double on Wise Dan and Game On Dude at current prices at only £5 would take you just over the 5/1 minimum price you require to get your free £5 bet back by Monday night. 

However a win double  bet on Wise Dan and Mucho Macho Man would definitley take you over this minimum price and thhis is what I have done.

I have also gone for Magician in the Breeders' Cup Turf event and put a place bet on Declaration Of War in the Breeders Cup Classic.

Just click on the links, follow the sign up procedure and claim your free bets. Just make sure to read the terms and conditions first.

Join the SkyBet free bet club by placing a double at total odds of 5/1 or more at £5 and claim a free bet of £5 each week. Also if you are a new user claim a free matched bet up to £30!

If you forget to put you bet on by Sunday night then you won't get to claim your free bet however you can always re-join by betting £10 on a win double (or other accumulator) before the next Sunday night.

Join SkyBet and get £30 and free £5 bets each week

Get a matched bet from between £1 and £25 with BetFred.

Just join and they let you bet from as little as £1! They will also match any first bet from £1 to £25!

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Get £10 for depositing £5 with ToteSport

Just sign up, deposit £5 and get a free £10 bet, almost as good as a non deposit bet offer.

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Sign up to Betfair and get a free £50 deposit after you have bet £50 on a horse within 30 days of joining.

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View the original article and get all your bet offers for the 2013 Breeders Cup at UK Horse Racing Tipster

Saturday, 19 October 2013

A look at British Champions Day 2013

A Look At British Champions Day 2013

By The UK Horse Racing Tipster

Today is the final big day of British flat racing. It is also the richest day in British horse racing with over £3.4 million in prize money on offer across the final races in each of the five QIPCO British Champions Series categories. The races are run over Ascot's famous race track.

The British Champions Day is relatively new, first being held in 2011, and people seem to either love it or hate it. Personally I love it as it gives the Brits their own big bash at the end of the flat season.

In 2012 the unbeaten Frankel ended his career by beating the second highest rated horse in the world, Cirrus Des Aigles, in a great British Champions Stakes race. He came last out of the stalls, had to make up ground on soft going and he still pulled away to win in his usual style.

You can watch the 2011 British Champions Stakes below.



Frankel's opponent last year is again favourite this year for the British Champions Stakes.

However he has had a bad start to the season being beaten twice on the trot by the now retired Novellist, then losing again before regaining some form in his last race.

His main opponent seems to be Farhh, a horse who won in great style earlier this year, and another horse who had to put up with place honours behind Frankel when he was running. Farhh has had a long break and runs well fresh. He could be the horse to put your money on!

As always on big days I will give you the thoughts of my own AutoBOT on the race.

He ranks each runner and give it a score. It is up to you whether you pay any notice or not but many times I have found I have ignored his advice only to curse myself afterwards.

Lets look at 3 of the big races today.

Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes - Class 1 Group 1 - Handicap - 1m 4f - Soft - 14:55

Horse OR My Rating Price
Talent 114 138 4.50 - 7/2
Dalkala 115 285 5.10 - 41/10
Hot Snap 111 231 6.40 - 27/5
Waila 110 325 8.40 - 37/5
The Lark 107 271 9.00 - 8/1
Igugu 109 92 11.50 - 21/2
Belle de Crecy 110 262 12.50 - 23/2
Nymphea 115 390 14.00 - 13/1
Seal Of Approval 99 143 14.50 - 27/2
So whilst Talent heads the table in terms of price, my BOT has put the joint top officially rated horse Nymphea highest in terms of his own ranking system.

This could be a tasty race in which any of a number of horses could win and the favourite, Talent,  doesn't exactly have a long string of 1's after her name.

Seeing that favourites at Ascot have a less than average 33% chance of winning over the course it might be wise to go for someone other than Talent. I am considering putting a nice place bet on the AutoBOT's favourite Nymphea with Betfair.

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes - Class 1 Group 1 - Handicap - 1m - Soft - 15:30

Horse OR My Rating Price
Dawn Approach 125 550 3.95 - 56/19
Maxios 123 440 5.60 - 23/5
Olympic Glory 124 315 6.80 - 29/5
Soft Falling Rain 122 412 8.00 - 7/1
Gordon Lord Byron 118 472 12.50 - 23/2
Top Notch Tonto 115 364 17.00 - 16/1
Kingsbarns 116 174 18.00 - 17/1
Elusive Kate 117 220 20.00 - 19/1
Gregorian 116 323 34.00 - 33/1
Caspar Netscher 108 279 85.00 - 84/1
Leitir Mor 109 71 370.00 - 369/1
Burwaaz 95 245 1000.00 - 999/1


Now Dawn Approach is heading the market and whilst Elusive Kate and Olympic Glory are good horses they have both been beaten recently and the challenge could come from Maxios who has just won at Longchamp.

However even though Dawn Approach has lost his last two races, his last win was at Ascot and if he can reproduce his old form he could be unstoppable.

Qipco Champion Stakes - Class 1 Group 1 - Handicap - 1m 2f - Soft - 16:05

Horse OR My Rating Price
Cirrus Des Aigles 123 399 2.52 - 32/21
Farhh 124 461 4.50 - 7/2
Ruler Of The World 120 345 9.40 - 42/5
Morandi 116 203 13.00 - 12/1
Mukhadram 123 394 16.00 - 15/1
Triple Threat 114 159 19.00 - 18/1
Hillstar 119 154 19.00 - 18/1
Hunter's Light 113 137 34.00 - 33/1
Parish Hall 113 177 80.00 - 79/1
Main Sequence 111 120 120.00 - 119/1
The big race of the day and the one that saw Frankel beat today's short price favourite Cirrus Des Aigles last year.

Cirrus Des Aigles didn't have the best of starts to the season being beaten twice in a row by Novellist before regaining some form over in France recently.

He has run over the course and the soft ground will suit him however if Farhh can re-produce his form from his last race in May then he could be a good challenger.

Farhh runs well fresh and he has had a long break with S De Sousa riding him. Ruler of the World is another one to watch and whatever happened in the Prix de l'Arc d'Triomphe can be forgotten as this is not the same class of race.

Whilst Cirrus Des Aigles maybe a short favourite with going to suit I think the Ascot favourite form might throw up a shock here.

I have chosen to use my free SkyBet money on a double with Dawn Approach and Farhh.

It's only a fiver to join their free bet club and you get a free weekly bet for placing one double (or triple/accumulator) per week. Place a double for a fiver and then you will get a free bet returned. Use it each week, and put a £5 double on each week and you can carry on getting free bets. Even if you forget to bet one week you can re-join by putting on a £10 double instead.

Bet Offers for British Champions Day

The best bet offers will be on the latest bet offers page but here are a few to get your teeth into.

Remember to check out the Latest Bet Offers page and the Cheap Bet Offers page to get all the racing offers related to today's big event. It should be your first port of call on any big race day!

Remember if you want to put place bets on, place doubles or lay horses to lose you need an exchange to do it.

Ascot has a very high strike rate in terms of favourites losing (31%), and who can forget Royal Ascot this year! Hardly any favourites won the whole week and I laid every single favourite on the last day and won every race!

Therefore if you want to lay, read my articles on how to do it and then join Betfair to get a free matched £25 bet.

Join Betfair to get a free £25 bet.

If you haven't joined BetVictor then get a free £25 matched bet right now for registering. They are also offering 1/4 odds Each Way so be sure to get some free cash with BetVictor.

Join BetVictor for a free £25 Bet.

Or you can join Coral and get a free £50 matched bet for registering.

Join Coral for a free £50 bet.

SkyBet are offering the chance to join their weekly free £5 bet club. Just place an accumulator (a double will do) on horses with a total combined odds of 5/1 or more before Sunday night each week and they will give you a free £5 bet to spend that next week.

I already have a double down on Dawn Approach and Farhh with my free £5 accumulator bet. If I lose I get a £5 back to place on a single next week and if I win I get over £70. It could be a good choice for you as well.

SkyBet are also offering 1/4 the odds on all races at the Ascot British Champions meeting and they are also paying 5 places in the 4.45pm Qipco Future Stars Apprentice Handicap.

Join SkyBet now to join their free bet club or take advantage of their payouts today.

And if you are really skint then BetFred might be the place for you as they will take a mere £1 to register with! So if you bet with a £1 they will match it with another £1. The top match is £25 so you can use £25 to bet on if you want but if you haven't got the cash and want to put a bet on BetFred is the place for you!

Join BetFred and get a matched bet from £1 to £25.

Happy British Champions Day!

View the original article British Champions Day 2013 at UK Horse Racing Tipster.

Thursday, 17 October 2013

How to manage risk with your own betting

Managing Risk With Betting

By The UK Horse Racing Tipster
ukhorseracingtipster.com

I constantly get asked for free racing tips. "I'm going racing this weekend, I want 5 winners and nothing else", is the usual attitude.

No ifs or buts, just give me some winners, preferably the whole card!

However if there was one tip I would always give someone going racing, it would be to use the bookmakers money to bet with not your own!

If you are going betting for the day then I would sign up to online betting sites beforehand and place any bets before going to the track.

Why? Well multiple reasons:

The 3G / 4G phone signal is usually very poor at a racetrack due to all the people and bookies using it. Therefore if you don't use an online bookies beforehand you won't be able to at the course. Instead you will spend your time queueing up in massive crowds to place bets and possibly collect a wad of fake twenties (depending on where you go!).

Instead of enjoying the racing and not having to worry about moving from your prime viewing spot you will be constantly hustled and bustled. You won't get any special offers at the track. Why they don't do this I don't know as the online bookies are murdering them. Therefore if you are wise you will follow my Bash The Bookies system and rotate through the bookmakers special offers and use their money to bet with not your own!

You can spend your day enjoying your racing, knowing the bets have been placed before hand and probably at a better price than on course. Write the tips down on a bit of paper and take them with you in-case you forget!

However betting online means you get free bets, refunds and best odds deals that on-course bookmakers just won't offer you. However this article isn't about how you should bet when you go out it's aimed at those of you who have either written your own betting BOT (using Betfair or BETDAQ's API) or those of you who want to know how to make money from betting.

I spent 3 years writing my own AutoBOT and it works, however even with over 500 systems at this point in time, it is not the actual system's that make the money but something else - risk management.

If you cannot manage your own money then your probably in trouble anyway. Yet I admit to the world, I am useless with budgeting, saving and not getting into debt. I'm a bloke for God's sake, what do you expect me to do when I am down the pub and it's a choice between being sensible, saving my money and having a quiet night in or having another five pints?

This is why I wrote my AutoBOT.

I wanted to take my sticky, messy fingers out of all betting decisions and leave it up to my computer. It knows the stats of every course, the chances that a favourite will win at Ascot or York and the types of races, jockeys, trainers and horses that have a higher win % than the others.

So whilst I cannot divulge 3 years worth of programming skills in one little article I can give you some key tips. These are the ones that have insured I have made money and keep making money.

If you want to code these into your own API / Betting BOT then do so, if not you can still do it by hand.

1. Set limits on your daily betting.

I set both a daily limit in money for both Back and Lay bets. I also have a switch that I can turn off Back bets just to do Lay bets and vice versa. I could do both if I wanted but I tend to LAY first and then BACK later. If I reach the limit of either bet type I stop ASAP and cancel any unmatched bets. There is no point continuing a losing run is there. Stop and wait for another day. Save your remaining money!

2. Set limits on individual bets.

I set both a minimum and maximum stake for my bets. This is calculated by dividing my betting bank by the number of days I have left and the number of bets I want to place each day.

If my minimum back stake is £10, my max stake may be £20. However I work out how many bets I have that meet my system criteria and divide that up by my daily allowance to find out how many bets I can place.

I then divide the number of bets I want to place by a figure between my minimum and maximum stake so that I try to place them all. If I have lots of bets they may all be at the lower end, e.g £10. If I only have a few that match my systems they will be at the higher end. Otherwise I divide the total number of bets by my allowance to find a stake in-between my minimum and maximum stakes.

However if I have more bets that I can afford, I order them by race date and pick the first top X bets. I will then use up my daily allowance and if I make a profit then I carry on to the next lot of bets. If I don't I stop. Game over for today!

3. Set a maximum liability amount.

If I am lay betting I set a maximum liability amount which is calculated by taking my lay bet allowance, dividing it by the number of days I have to bet and then the bets per day. If my allowance is £25 per lay bet then I set a percentage that ensures any bet with a liability over it, say 60%, is auto traded.

Lay bets under that percentage amount are just left to fly in the wind. Those that could cost me dearly due to a 20/1 stake will be traded if the liability is over 60% of my maximum stake.

When I trade my bets I try to get an overlay (see overlaying bets for more info) which means either laying first and backing later at a higher price or backing first and laying later at a lower price.

As I currently stick to laying weak favourites or low-priced horses the loss if I lose is not to much. However if the liability goes over 60% and means I could lose £20+ then I will auto trade the bet. Even if this means I mitigate the bet so that I end up even, it's a whole lot better than losing a load of money.

4. Stash your dosh!

If you get a big win on one bet then put a percentage aside into another account. Either that or even keep it locked out of your database so it's not included in future betting banks. Save your winnings otherwise you won't get to spend them!

5. Have an ROI that you are aiming for.

When you start your betting bank, say £1,000, then if your target ROI is 50% then once you manage to make £1,500 you stop! No point being greedy. Take that profit, £500 and spend it and then start again with your initial £1,000.

6. Save up as much as possible.

When you win big, or have a good days worth of profit then take your winnings, calculate how much difference there is from your original starting amount that day, and if you are in profit for the day you can either adjust your ROI to a higher amount or STOP betting! Mission accomplished!

7. Withdraw your winnings whenever you can.

There is no point making money, losing it, making it again and carrying on in the same circle. If you have had a good day/week then take out a percentage of the bank and SPEND IT!

There is no point betting if all you do is rotate your winnings and losings. If you win a lot, spend it and make it worthwhile. If you are in this for a "job" treat it seriously. If you manage to make a profit that is extra on top of what you need take it out and spend it on yourself and your family.

8. Reset your parameters regularly.

Each night run a process (automated if possible on a computer) or by hand that takes your current betting bank and works out your min/max stakes, your max lay liability and your emergency levels (see below).

9. I set 4 emergency levels.

Set a "Severe" emergency level. I set mine so if I am under £20 I know I am in the shit. I change the types of bets I do to places on tip favourites and lays on horse where strong favourites are running. Set up an "Emergency Mode" where you are under a certain threshold e.g £50 / £100. If you are under that amount I change the type of bets I do to less risky bets.

I set up a "no emergency" bet amount and I usually use a percentage for this. So if I am down by 50% on my starting kitty I treat it as an emergency. If I go below this amount I chose less risky bets, lower my lay liability, lower my min and max back amounts.

However once I get back above this level I change again to more risky bets, higher stakes and a lower threshold for trading. I set up a "flush" level. If I am over 80% of the maximum amount I have ever earned then I consider myself flush. I log the highest ever bank figure so I know the maximum amount I have ever made.

I constantly check my Betfair balance so that I know what emergency level I am on e.g after a bet is matched or settled. Basically when the levels change so do my betting habits. I take less risky bets when in emergency mode and more risky bets in flush mode.

10. When things are not working, change your habits

If I am place betting but losing I will switch to lay betting. If the seasons change or the weather gets bad then I also have to be careful. Heavy ground can throw up some big priced winners and therefore I might switch to laying favourites. I stay away from big 20+ runner races where anyone can win as well as maidens where I have little knowledge of the horses and no stats to help me pick a horse apart from breeding.

As I would say to anyone who wants to write their own Betting BOT think about the risk management side of things.

Having one good killer system that you think will always work will cause you to fail at some point.

You may be able to get by for a few weeks or so but sooner or later the losing bets will come. Therefore it is all about knowing WHEN TO STOP BETTING once you are ahead and in profit and when to STOP BETTING when you have lost over a certain amount.

Good risk management covers all possible scenarios. It will help you during good AND bad times.

Risk management is key when it comes to betting so get your head round it as it will save you more £ than you can possibly know!


View the original article on managing risk betting at ukhorseracingtipster.com.

Monday, 7 October 2013

Treve franks my pick an Arc winner system for 2013

Treve franks UK Horse Racing Tipster "pick a winner for the Prix de l'Arc d'Triomphe" system for 2013


By UK Horse Racing Star


The 2013 Prix de l'Arc d'Triomphe was held yesterday at Longchamp and won by the 3 year old French filly Treve.

This was the richest middle distance prize race in Europe and it brought together a number of great Group 1 runners from around the world to compete in a great race at Longchamp.

Even though Novellist was a non runner but there were still great horses such as the runner up from 2012 Orfevre, Leading Light, Al Kazeem, the English Derby winner Ruler Of The World, Intello and the Japanese Derby winner Kizuna to name a few.

The race was won by the 5 times unbeaten Treve, who yet again denied the Japanese star Orfevre from winning!

Two 2nd places in a row in the best race in Europe, how gutting!

Also Treve's win seemed to frank most of the points in the UK Horse Racing Tipsters pick a winner for the Prix de l'Arc d'Triomphe system as she matched nearly all of the criteria.

The points that matched were.

1. She was a previous course winner.
2. Treve's last race was over the Longchamp course.
3. Treve was a 3 year old filly.
4. Her starting price was 10/1 or less at 9/2.
5. She came from a French trained yard.
6. She had won over 1m 4f previously.
7. She had won at least one previous group 1 race before in her history.

The only points that didn't match were:

She didn't come from stall 8 or lower which to be honest I think is one of the least important parts of the system considering the top 5 finishers all came from high stalls e.g

  • Treve came from stall 15.
  • Orfevre  came from stall 8.
  • Intello came from stall 9
  • Kizuna came from stall 11.
  • Al Kazeem came from the widest stall 18.

The only other thing that didn't match the system was that she hadn't raced 4 times or more that season. In fact she had only ever raced, and won, 4 times previously in her whole career before Sundays big event.

You can relive yesterday's Prix de l'Arc d'Triomphe race by watching it here.


You can watch more Arc races here: Prix de L’Arc d'Triomphe – 2013 – Price, Potential Winners and past races re-lived!

You can also view the history of the event, watch even more Arc races, and see a table of past winners of the Prix de L’Arc d'Triomphe here.

You can view the original article on ukhorseracingtipster.com.